4DAYS Up Next · Week 4 UCLA SAT, SEP 26 · SECU STADIUM
Terps
2026 SeasonB1G
MON, SEP 21, 2026 Analytics
SHELL
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SCOUT

USC · offensive tendencies

12 games · 759 plays · 2025

Run / pass by down

1st down
57.4% R
2nd & long
60% P
3rd & short
67.6% R
3rd & long
76.7% P

Overall balance

Run48.7%
Pass51.3%
Red-zone run60.4%
3rd-down conv54.5%

Efficiency

Success rate51%
Explosive rate17.5%
PPA / play (CFBD)0.37
Plays / game63.3

Game script

Run when leading 7+55.1%
Run when trailing 7+42.5%
1st-down PPA (CFBD)0.23
Season12 games · 759 plays
ADVANCED

Their offense · what we must stop

CFBD advanced season stats · 2025

Efficiency · CFBD advanced

PPA / play0.30
Success49.0%
Explosiveness1.34
Pts / scoring opp4.66

Line of scrimmage

Line yards3.15
Power success75.5%
Stuffed at the line16.5%
Open-field yds1.65

Standard vs passing downs

Std-downs success53.1%
Std-downs PPA0.23
Pass-downs success38.1%
Pass-downs PPA0.48

Havoc taken

Havoc rate13.2%
Front seven7.2%
Secondary5.9%
Avg field position72.8
READ

The coach's read

SHELL AIgrounded in the numbers above
KEY 01
Load the box and set the edge on first down. USC runs the ball 57.4% of the time on first down and posts a 0.23 PPA per first-down play, which is above the threshold we consider strong. If we give them comfortable first-down runs, they control field position and stay ahead of the chains all night.
KEY 02
Sell out in the run game when they hold a two-score lead. With a 7-plus point advantage, USC goes run-heavy at 55.1% of their calls, and their overall success rate of 51% tells us they are genuinely moving the chains when they want to. Do not let them bleed clock and extend leads by winning the late-game run fight.
KEY 03
Get off the field on third and short by stopping the run first. USC converts third downs at a 54.5% rate overall, and on third and short they hand the ball off 67.6% of the time. Our front must win those short-yardage reps, because if we let them pick up those yards on the ground, we are handing them a conversion rate north of two-thirds without them even needing to throw it.
Bottom lineUSC is a balanced offense that leans on the run to stay on schedule and protect leads, converting at a 54.5% clip on third down. Our best path is stopping first-down runs, forcing obvious passing situations, and winning the physical matchup in short yardage.