SHELL
Maryland Football Analytics
SHELL
Scheme, History, Evaluation, Lineup & Logistics
4DAYS Up Next · Week 4 UCLA SAT, SEP 26 · SECU STADIUM
Terps
2026 SeasonB1G
MON, SEP 21, 2026 Analytics
SHELL

Game week

Week 4 · vs UCLA · 5 days out · manage the game, the sheets, the booth, the kicking game
GAME MGMT

What's my call · 4th down

college win-probability · 946,889 plays
Win-probability model ported from the GameDayDecisions engine and recalibrated on college play-by-play (cfbfastR, 2021-24). Conversion, field-goal, and punt rates are measured from the college game, so the calls reflect college kickers and college 4th-down math, not the NFL. Adjust the situation and the call updates live.
WK 4vs UCLASEP 26 · SECU STADIUM74° · clearno market line posted · as of 2026-06-09
Team-strength neutral: the model carries no opponent rating. Kicker and 4th-down-offense tiers shift the measured FG / conversion rates — staff judgment, applied openly.
:
FIELD GOAL
win probability 36.1%
+2.4 pts vs next best
Go for it
33.8%
Field goal
36.1%
Punt
29.0%
Convert 4th & 2 at 57.7% (n=2936) · 55-yd FG makes 47.7% (n=266) · punt nets 28 yds · GO break-even: convert ≥ 71.1%
MATCHUP

Advanced matchup vs UCLA

CFBD advanced season stats · 2025

When Maryland has the ball

OFFENSETHEIR D
PPA / play0.040.22
Success rate38.7%49.8%
Line yards2.793.32
Pts / scoring opp3.394.61
Havoc faced/made14.2%12.0%

When UCLA has the ball

OFFENSETHEIR D
PPA / play0.050.04
Success rate41.2%43.2%
Line yards3.043.08
Pts / scoring opp2.983.60
Havoc faced/made15.9%14.1%
Offense column = that side's season numbers; THEIR D = what the defense across from them allowed. 2025 season — the most recent completed one.
Data

What's loaded

offense log · 0 snaps defense log · 0 snaps no opponent charts yet
Upload

Templates in templates/ — post-game ingest is the same file

Our offense call log
one row per snap: situation + CALL + result (offense-calls.csv) — select multiple game files at once
Our defense call log
our call/front/coverage + their concept + result (defense-calls.csv)
Opponent DEFENSE chart
their fronts/coverages/pressure by situation — feeds the OC sheet
Opponent OFFENSE chart
their personnel/concepts by situation — feeds the DC sheet
Sheets

Per opponent

Demo SAMPLE OC sheet DC sheet sample data — see the format before uploading
Hampton OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
UConn OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Virginia Tech OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
UCLA OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Nebraska OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Ohio State OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Rutgers OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Illinois OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Purdue OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Wisconsin OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
USC OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
Penn State OC sheet DC sheet OC brief Wristband
▸ Sheets rank YOUR calls against the charted opponent (MATCH = success re-weighted by their look mix; hierarchical backoff, never invented). No log = empty boxes with an honest note; no chart = ranked on your log alone, labeled. Lock a sheet before printing wristbands — locks version everything and power the post-game grading.
LIVE

In-game companion

tap plays in the booth · the halftime read compares what they're SHOWING vs what you charted
0 plays logged
Nothing logged yet — first tap starts the game. The call field suggests from the call log; looks compare live against the pre-game chart.
ST

Special teams scout

CFBD play-by-play · most recent completed season · no charting data (hang time / lanes / personnel are film territory)
UCLA 2025
FIELD GOALS · Mateen Bhaghani
RangeMade%
< 304/4100%
30-396/786%
40-494/580%
50+2/450%
overall 80% of 20 · long made 54 · calculator kicker dial: +0.07
PUNT · Will Karoll
38 punts · gross 42.8 · TB 0% · FC 32% · returns allowed 7.3 avg (4) · 1 BLOCKED
KICKOFF + RETURNS
KO touchback 63% of 51 · coverage allows 14.1 · their PR 7.4 avg (5) · their KR 18.5 avg (17)
⚑ 1 punt BLOCKED in 2025 — rush their protection.
⚑ Live from 50+: 2/4 — the field shortens against them.
Maryland 2025
FIELD GOALS · Sean O'Haire
RangeMade%
< 3011/1292%
30-395/683%
40-495/5100%
50+0/10%
overall 88% of 24 · long made 49 · calculator kicker dial: +0.07
PUNT · Bryce McFerson
54 punts · gross 46.5 · TB 17% · FC 41% · returns allowed 18.3 avg (3)
KICKOFF + RETURNS
KO touchback 18% of 62 · coverage allows 23.8 · their PR 6.4 avg (13) · their KR 16.5 avg (8)