78DAYS Up Next · Week 1 Hampton SAT, SEP 5 · SECU STADIUM
Terps
2026 SeasonB1G
THU, JUN 18, 2026 Analytics
SHELL
WEEK 13 · Nov 28 · SECU STADIUM · 163 DAYS SP+ '25 +18.1 · #15

Penn State

Year 1 of the Campbell transplant: 22 Cyclones imported, Becht under center, market says 9.5 wins against a soft schedule
2025 · 7-6 — James Franklin fired Oct 12 after a 3-3 start; closed with four straight wins incl. 22-10 over Clemson in the Pinstripe Bowl
THE MARYLAND ANGLE

Regular-season finale, Nov 28 in College Park — eleven games of Mouser tape by then, and the Iowa State carryover makes the self-scout cheap. Plan starts with early-down run fits versus 12/13 personnel and bracketing Brahmer; force Becht into long third downs and the receiver room is the weak link.

Offense
SCHEMEMouser 'spread pro' — run-game-centered, heavy 12/13 personnel with TEs as both lead blockers and receivers; NFL (Rams/Colts) structure, multi-tempo
QBBecht (Iowa State transfer) — no-doubt QB1, 26 career D-I wins (most of any active QB). Rehabbing labrum surgery on non-throwing shoulder; non-contact in spring, expected full for camp. QB2 unsettled: D-III transfer Barry took spring first-team reps while ISU transfer Manske rehabbed
RETURNCousins (OG) · Donkoh (OT) · Goodman (OT) · Martin Jr. (RB) · Rappleyea (TE) · Howard (WR)
ADDSBecht (QB, Iowa State) · Brahmer (TE, Iowa State — 247's No. 1 portal TE) · Hansen (RB, Iowa State) · Peoples (RB, Ohio State) · Sowell (WR, Iowa State) · Eskildsen (WR, Iowa State) · Buhr (OG, Iowa State) · Riker (C, Texas State)

Iowa State's offense relocated nearly intact: QB, OC, OL coach, lead back, and the top two TEs all came together, so install friction should be minimal. Identity is run-first out of multi-TE sets with Brahmer the featured matchup piece. Becht's shoulder is the only health flag; receiver top-end speed is the thinnest spot on paper.

Defense
SCHEMELynn (ex-USC DC, PSU alum) — multiple, coverage-heavy; stout front to play light boxes and flood coverage; unified Cover 3 teaching across calls
RETURNRojas (LB — returning from torn ACL, walkthrough-only in spring) · Granville (DE — back from injury) · Collins (CB — started all 13 in 2025, HM All-B1G) · Tracy (CB) · Dixson (CB) · Kemajou (DE) · Toure (S)
ADDSCooper (DB, Iowa State) · Bacon (LB, Iowa State) · Brezina (LB, Iowa State) · Williams (DT, UCLA) · Taupaki (DT, UCLA) · Vakalahi (DT, Utah) · McPherson (EDGE, Colorado) · Neal Jr. (S, Iowa State)

Near-total rebuild: 19 of the 40 portal adds are defenders and only about three returning Nittany Lions project to start — and that assumes Rojas beats the ACL clock by September. Corner room (Collins, Tracy, Dixson plus Cooper) is the most continuous unit. Front six is transfer-built and unproven together; early-season run fits are the obvious stress point.

Coaching
HCMatt Campbell · 1st year NEW 2026
OCTaylor Mouser (followed Campbell from Iowa State, OC there since 2024)
DCD'Anton Lynn (hired from USC, where he was DC two seasons; former PSU corner)
CHANGESFranklin fired Oct 2025; Smith interim, retained as associate HC/CBs · Campbell hired from Iowa State Dec 8, 2025 · Mouser new OC (Iowa State), Lynn new DC (USC) — both first season · Lustig the lone coordinator holdover (ST) · Malloe (DL/run game, ex-UCLA DC), Veidt (LB, ex-Cincinnati DC), Broomfield (S/pass game, Iowa State), Clanton (OL, Iowa State)

Campbell brought the Iowa State operation east nearly whole — staff continuity with his own system is the bet, and the schedule (no Ohio State, Indiana, or Oregon) gives Year 1 room to breathe. Lynn is the one outside hire at coordinator and the early spring reviews were strong.

Roster Changes
IN
  • Becht (QB, Iowa State)
  • Brahmer (TE, Iowa State)
  • Cooper (DB, Iowa State)
  • Hansen (RB, Iowa State)
  • Peoples (RB, Ohio State)
OUT
  • Coleman (EDGE, Tennessee — 247's No. 3 overall portal prospect)
  • Harris (CB, Indiana)
  • Washington II (CB, Clemson)
  • Campbell (LB, Tennessee)
  • Mack (S, NC State)

A program transplant, not a retool: 40+ out, 37 in, 22 straight from Ames. Continuity inside the incoming group raises the floor, but elite young talent (Coleman) and most of the 2025 secondary walked.

Special Teams

Barker back at kicker (18/19 in 2025; 33/37 career, never missed inside 40) and Lustig retained as ST coordinator after his unit finished No. 1 in ESPN FPI ST efficiency. Punter is new — Nwosu gone to the NFL; Mississippi State transfer Tiyce battling freshman Tenbrock.

Vegas
9.5WIN TOTAL · FanDuel · +5000 national title; +2000 Big Ten (spring odds roundups; book attribution not pinned)

Over 9.5 at +110 / under -134 — market gives Campbell roughly a coin flip at 10 wins despite topping nine only once in 14 prior seasons. Media framing: playoff-capable in Year 1 because the schedule misses Ohio State, Indiana, and Oregon, but expectations tempered versus the 2025 preseason hype.

Key Players
BechtQB
26 career wins, ran this exact offense three years; labrum rehab the only flag
BrahmerTE
No. 1 portal TE; centerpiece of the 12/13-personnel attack as blocker and seam threat
HansenRB
Iowa State's lead back, imported with his OL coach and scheme intact
RojasLB
Defense's pivot if the ACL return holds — near 20% of his 2025 tackles were behind the line
CooperDB
Iowa State ballhawk anchoring a rebuilt secondary alongside Collins and Tracy
BarkerK
33/37 career, never missed inside 40 — flips every red-zone stall into points
Researched 2026-06-09 · 247Sports, On3, Penn State On SI, Onward State, StateCollege.com, Daily Collegian, gopsusports.com, FootballScoop, CBS Sports, FOX Sports… · 20 sources on file