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SHELL · ADVANCE SCOUTING2026 SEASON · WEEK 9 · 2026
INTERNAL ADVANCE REPORT

Scout the
Fighting Illini

INSIDE THIS ADVANCE
IOverview & The Read
IITendency Report
IIISituational Splits
IVDrive Efficiency
VPersonnel Profiles
VIStatistical Leaders
VIIThe Man Across the Field
VIIIMatchup Advantages
IXCoverage & Pressure
XPersonnel & Formation
XICharting Layer
SHELLILLINOIS ADVANCE · WEEK 9 · 2026
WEEK 9 · 2026 · INTERNAL ADVANCE
MARYLAND· VERSUS ·ILLINOIS
Maryland 4-8 · Illinois 8-4 · 2025 SEASON
Date
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Stadium
SECU Stadium
Location
Home
Kickoff
TBD · TBD
Prepared by SHELL · Maryland FootballConfidential · Internal use · Scheme / History / Evaluation / Lineup / Logistics
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / Contents
I
Overview & The Read

Illinois at a Glance

Illinois · 8-4 · 2025

Illinois is a run-first, ball-control team that leans heavily on the ground game, especially in favorable situations, and posts a solid PPA of 0.26 per play, which puts them above the strong threshold. They convert third downs at a 44.9% clip and play at a modest 62 plays per game, meaning they want to grind possessions and limit your opportunities.

The ReadThree keys to defend Illinois
01KEY 01
Illinois is a run-first offense you must stop to win: 51.2% run overall, 56.9% on first down, 59.9% in the red zone, and 61.9% when ahead by a score. Your front must set the edge and win run fits on early downs and in scoring territory, because if they establish the ground game and get a lead, they will lean on it even harder.
02KEY 02
Their 44.9% third-down conversion rate tells you they are beatable on third down but you have to earn it: hold them to long yardage, because they run 57.4% of the time on third and short and throw 83.6% of the time on third and long. Force incompletions when you know the pass is coming and trust your run fits when the distance is short.
03KEY 03
Their overall PPA of 0.26 is above average efficiency, but their first-down PPA of only 0.08 means they are not consistently moving the chains on early downs. Win first down on the ground and force them into predictable second-and-long situations where they pass 54.3% of the time. Limit explosives, which sit at 13%, and you take away their most reliable path to moving the ball.
★ Bottom Line
Illinois is a physical, run-oriented offense that gets more one-dimensional when trailing, so your best path is winning first-down run defense, staying out of big leads that let them dictate pace, and converting their manageable third-down conversion rate into punts.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / I
II
Tendency Report

Illinois Run / Pass by Down

Heat-mapped · deeper red = higher rate

Every scrimmage snap split by down and distance. Run rate and pass rate are heat-shaded on a Maryland-red scale so the strong tendencies jump off the page. The top row is all downs combined.

DownDistance PlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
ALL All 744 381 363 51.2% 48.8%
1 10 339 193 146 56.9% 43.1%
2 All 249 132 117 53% 47%
2 1-2 32 20 12 62.5% 37.5%
2 3-6 62 40 22 64.5% 35.5%
2 7+ 155 72 83 46.5% 53.5%
3 All 136 46 90 33.8% 66.2%
3 1-2 32 24 8 75% 25%
3 3-6 49 13 36 26.5% 73.5%
3 7+ 55 9 46 16.4% 83.6%
LowerHigherRegular season only · shading scales with rate within each cell
Counts and rates are computed from charted play-by-play, regular season only (the CFBD pulls exclude postseason). Personnel groupings, formations, and concept tags are not in this table, they live in the Personnel & Formation charting layer (Section X) where film and Telemetry plug in.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / II
III
Situational Splits

Illinois Run / Pass by Situation

Field zone · score · half

The same run/pass tendency, re-cut by where the ball sits, the score on the board, and which half it is. Counts are real charted snaps; thin splits are flagged honestly. Run % and pass % are heat-shaded on the same Maryland-red scale.

By field zone
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Backed up (own 10) 11 5 6 45.5% 54.5%
Open field 591 291 300 49.2% 50.8%
Red zone (in 20) 142 85 57 59.9% 40.1%
Goal line (in 5) 34 20 14 58.8% 41.2%
By score
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Leading by 7+ 281 174 107 61.9% 38.1%
Within a TD 264 133 131 50.4% 49.6%
Trailing by 7+ 199 74 125 37.2% 62.8%
By half
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
First half 383 177 206 46.2% 53.8%
Second half 361 204 157 56.5% 43.5%
Splits are real charted snaps. Read the smaller cuts with care (the lightest split here is 11 snaps); goal-line and two-score-game samples are usually the thinnest.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / III
IV
Drive Efficiency

Illinois Offense vs Defense

Per-drive, from CFBD drives

Drive for drive: what Illinois does with the ball, next to what their defense gives up. Points per drive are estimated from the drive result (touchdown counts as seven, field goal as three). Everything here is computed from real CFBD drive data.

Their OffenseWhen they have the ball
Points / Drive
2.8
Red-Zone TD
69.4%62 trips
3-and-Out
23.6%
Explosive Drive
45.7%40+ yds
Avg Start
68.9yds to goal
Drives
127
Their Defense AllowsWhen they are on the field
Points / Drive
2.3
Red-Zone TD
69.4%49 trips
3-and-Out
26.6%
Explosive Drive
37.9%40+ yds
Avg Start
71yds to goal
Drives
124
Points per drive is an estimate (TD = 7, FG = 3); it does not separate two-point tries, safeties, or defensive/special-teams scores. Red-zone rate counts drives reaching the opponent 20. Three-and-out is a non-scoring drive of three plays or fewer. Explosive is a drive gaining 40 or more yards.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / IV
V
Personnel Profiles

How Illinois Lines Up

Both sides of the ball
Their DefenseWhat we will see when we have the ball

Illinois's defense has allowed opponents to succeed on 45.6% of plays and convert third downs at 46.2%, which are numbers that suggest they are beatable on sustained drives. Their explosive rate allowed of 9.8% is respectable, meaning they limit the big play but can be worn down.

  • Third-down conversion rate allowed of 46.2% is elevated, which means if you move the chains on early downs you have a real chance to sustain drives and extend possessions against them.
  • Opponents have thrown the ball on 54.7% of plays against them, so defenses are clearly comfortable passing versus Illinois -- that should inform your play-calling philosophy early.
  • Success rate allowed of 45.6% means nearly half the plays run against them gain positive expected value, suggesting this unit can be consistently moved on rather than needing to rely on explosive shots.
Their OffenseWhat our defense must stop

Illinois runs the ball by default and only opens up the passing game when they have to, with a clear commitment to the run on first down and in the red zone. Their explosive rate of 13% is manageable but their overall efficiency is genuinely good.

  • First-down run rate of 56.9% tells you exactly what they want to do to open a series -- load the box and force them into unfavorable second-down distances early.
  • In the red zone they run the ball 59.9% of the time, so your goal-line and short-field run defense has to be locked in because they will pound it inside 20.
  • When trailing by 7 or more they pass 62.8% of the time, which means putting them in a hole early fundamentally changes what they do and makes them more predictable.
  • Their third-and-long pass rate of 83.6% means getting them behind the chains is your best opportunity to force obvious passing situations and pin their ears back.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / V
V
Personnel Profiles

Two-Deep & Availability

Ourlads depth chart · updated 06/15/2026 3:19PM ET
Offense
PosStarterBackup
WR-X17 Collin Dixon RS JR9 Alex Perry TR RS SR
WR-Z1 Jayshon Platt TR RS SR10 Ty Robinson TR RS SR
WR-SL13 Hudson Clement TR RS SR11 Brayden Trimble RS FR
LT72 Christian Martin TR RS JR52 Champ Smith FR
LG70 Maika Matelau TR SO66 Brandon Hansen JR
C59 Jake Renfro TR RS SR55 TJ McMillen RS JR
RG75 Brandon Henderson SR78 Eddie Tuerk RS SO
RT71 Nathan Knapik TR RS SO79 TJ Taylor TR JR
TE86 Christian Abney TR SR3 Kaden Feagin SR
QB4 Katin Houser TR RS SR2 Carson Boyd RS FR
RB5 Ca'Lil Valentine JR21 Aidan Laughery RS SR
Defense
PosStarterBackup
DE43 Joe Barna JR17 Isaiah Thomison TR RS JR
NT96 Darrell Prater TR RS SR54 Demetrius John RS SO
DT90 Carter Janki TR RS SR52 Pat Farrell RS JR
JACK4 Daniel Brown TR RS SR18 Mason Muragin RS JR
WLB33 Grant Beerman SO26 Ismael Kante TR RS SR
MLB10 James Kreutz RS SR45 Robert Edmonson TR RS JR
LCB5 Jakwon Morris TR JR3 Nick Hankins Jr. FR
SS7 Matthew Bailey RS SR13 Xanai Scott RS FR
FS0 Mac Resetich SR9 Lavon Williams TR RS SR
RCB6 Juice Clarke SR16 Tanner Heckel JR
NB1 Xavier Scott RS SR22 Deuce Fillmore TR RS SR
Special Teams
PosStarterBackup
PT81 Lars Rau TR RS SO18 Jack Gray FR
PK37 Ethan Moczulski TR RS SR27 Lucas Osada TR RS SO
KO37 Ethan Moczulski TR RS SR27 Lucas Osada TR RS SO
LS44 Patrick Mahoney III RS JR49 Zach Haber TR RS JR
H81 Lars Rau TR RS SO18 Jack Gray FR
PR83 Eddie Kasper TR RS SR
KR1 Jayshon Platt TR RS SR5 Ca'Lil Valentine JR
Source: Ourlads NCAA depth chart · updated 06/15/2026 3:19PM ET · TR = transfer · injuries staff-entered
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / V
VI
Statistical Leaders

Illinois Top Producers

Season to date · regular season only
GroundRushing
Ca'Lil Valentine 130 car 595 yds
2 Kaden Feagin 121 car 501 yds
Luke Altmyer off roster 62 car 488 yds
4 Aidan Laughery 73 car 374 yds
Hank Beatty off roster 4 car 46 yds
6 Jordan Anderson 9 car 41 yds
Preston Stone off roster 1 car 8 yds
Trech Kekahuna off roster 1 car 6 yds
AirPassing
Luke Altmyer off roster 240 cmp 2,920 yds
2 Hudson Clement 2 cmp 45 yds
Hank Beatty off roster 2 cmp 31 yds
Ethan Hampton off roster 3 cmp 27 yds
TargetsReceiving
Hank Beatty off roster 69 rec 863 yds
2 Collin Dixon 34 rec 541 yds
3 Hudson Clement 33 rec 390 yds
Justin Bowick off roster 22 rec 265 yds
Cole Rusk off roster 20 rec 226 yds
6 Kaden Feagin 14 rec 162 yds
Tanner Arkin off roster 13 rec 114 yds
Ashton Hollins off roster 4 rec 108 yds
Production is from 2025. Struck-through names are no longer on the current roster (graduated, transferred, or to the NFL) — don't game-plan around them.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / VI
VII
The Man Across the Field

Illinois's Decision Profile

4th-down tendency · tempo

How the man calling it for Illinois thinks on fourth down, drawn from every fourth-down snap his offense has taken this season. "Went" means they ran a play (rush or pass); "kicked" means a field goal or a punt. The split is then cut by field zone so you know where he gets aggressive.

4th DownFacedWentKickedGo %
All zones 75 20 55 26.7%
Own half (60+) 30 1 29 3.3%
Midfield (40-59) 13 5 8 38.5%
Fringe (21-39) 12 6 6 50%
Red zone (in 20) 20 8 12 40%
Go-for-it rate
26.7%
on 75 fourth downs
Tempo
62/gm
offensive snaps, 12 games
Across 75 fourth downs, this is a fair read on how aggressive he is. The zone cuts show where he hunts a conversion versus where he takes the points or flips the field.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / VII
VIII
Matchup Advantages

Where We Win

Our strengths vs their weaknesses
Maryland StrengthsvsIllinois Weaknesses
  • Attack them on third down through the air -- their 46.2% third-down conversion rate allowed means if Maryland can generate passing success on early downs and reach manageable third downs, the chains will keep moving.
  • Maryland should make Illinois one-dimensional early by building a lead -- at a 7-plus point deficit Illinois shifts to 62.8% pass, which neutralizes their core identity and makes them easier to defend.
  • Do not let Illinois control clock on first down -- their 56.9% first-down run tendency means Maryland's defensive front stopping the run early is the key to getting them into second and long situations where they are far less comfortable.
  • Illinois limits explosives at 9.8% allowed, so Maryland's path to winning is sustained efficiency rather than chunk plays -- string together successful plays on each down and let their 45.6% success rate allowed work in your favor over a full game.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / VIII
IX
Coverage & Pressure

Blitz & Coverage

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. CFBD play-by-play does not carry coverage shells, blitz, or pressure, so the rates below stay blank until a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry. The sample row shows the shape only, not real numbers.

Blitz & pressure by down
DownBlitz %Pressure %Sack %
1st down ···
2nd down ···
3rd down ···
4th down ···
(example) sample 38%44%9%
Coverage shells
ShellSnap %Explosive allowedEPA / play
Cover 1 ···
Cover 3 ···
Cover 4 / quarters ···
Cover 2 / 2-man ···
(example) sample 31%··
Empty cells are the charting layer. Once a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry, these rates drop straight into the table; nothing here is estimated.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / IX
X
Personnel & Formation

Groupings & Sets

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. Personnel groupings and formation families are not in CFBD play-by-play; they are tagged off the film or pulled from Telemetry, then drop straight into these tables. The sample row is illustrative shape only.

Personnel groupings
PersonnelSnap %Run %Success %
11 personnel ···
12 personnel ···
21 personnel ···
Empty / 10 ···
(example: 11) sample 62%48%·
Formation families
FormationSnap %Run / Pass tiltNotes
Spread / 2x2 ···
Trips / 3x1 ···
Under center ···
Heavy / tight ···
(example) sample ···
The 11 / 12 / 21 labels are the standard back-and-tight-end personnel shorthand. Rows are marked where a sample is shown; real percentages come off the film and the Telemetry feed.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / X
XI
Charting Layer

Film & Telemetry

What plugs in next
★ Plugs in from film / Telemetry

The numbers above come from charted play-by-play. The detail a coordinator wants next, special-teams maps, opponent media quotes, and player grades, comes off the film and the Telemetry feed. Each item below drops straight into this report once charted.

  • Coverage and blitz tendencies by down and distance (Telemetry / PFF charting).
  • Special-teams punt and kickoff location maps.
  • Opponent media quotes from the weekly press conferences.
  • Player grades, pressures, and coverage data from Telemetry.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Illinois / 2025 / XI