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SHELL · ADVANCE SCOUTING2026 SEASON · WEEK 10 · 2026
INTERNAL ADVANCE REPORT

Scout the
Boilermakers

INSIDE THIS ADVANCE
IOverview & The Read
IITendency Report
IIISituational Splits
IVDrive Efficiency
VPersonnel Profiles
VIStatistical Leaders
VIIThe Man Across the Field
VIIIMatchup Advantages
IXCoverage & Pressure
XPersonnel & Formation
XICharting Layer
SHELLPURDUE ADVANCE · WEEK 10 · 2026
WEEK 10 · 2026 · INTERNAL ADVANCE
MARYLAND· VERSUS ·PURDUE
Maryland 4-8 · Purdue 2-10
Date
Saturday, November 7, 2026
Stadium
Ross-Ade Stadium
Location
Away · at Purdue
Kickoff
TBD · TBD
Prepared by SHELL · Maryland FootballConfidential · Internal use · Scheme / History / Evaluation / Lineup / Logistics
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / Contents
I
Overview & The Read

Purdue at a Glance

Purdue · 2-10

Purdue is a run-heavy team that leans on the ground game in favorable situations but cannot consistently move the chains, converting only 40.5 percent of third downs and generating a below-average PPA of 0.12 per play. Their defense surrenders big plays at a high rate and allows nearly half of third-down attempts to be converted, making them vulnerable on both sides of the ball against a disciplined opponent.

The ReadThree keys to defend Purdue
01KEY 01
Hold the run on early downs. Purdue runs 48.6% on first down but their first-down PPA sits at -0.06, meaning they are already losing value on those carries. Win the first-down run front consistently and you force them into predictable second-and-long situations where they pass 61.8% of the time, making your coverage calls easier to execute.
02KEY 02
Load the box in the red zone. They run the ball 59.8% of the time inside the 20, well above their overall rate of 45.8%. Stop the red-zone run before it starts and their offense, which converts only 40.5% of third downs overall, will have to earn points through the air in a compressed field where completions are harder to come by.
03KEY 03
Eliminate the big play on passing downs. Their explosive rate is 11.7% and their PPA per play is only 0.12, which is barely above average. That means they are not a consistent offense and they need chunk gains to stay on schedule. Prevent explosives on 3rd-and-long pass situations where they throw 70.6% of the time, keep everything in front of you, and let their own inefficiency work against them.
★ Bottom Line
Purdue is a below-average offense that lives on staying on schedule rather than overwhelming you with talent. Take away first-down runs, eliminate red-zone scores on the ground, and prevent the occasional big pass play and their 40.5% third-down rate will not sustain enough drives to beat you.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / I
II
Tendency Report

Purdue Run / Pass by Down

Heat-mapped · deeper red = higher rate

Every scrimmage snap split by down and distance. Run rate and pass rate are heat-shaded on a Maryland-red scale so the strong tendencies jump off the page. The top row is all downs combined.

DownDistance PlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
ALL All 766 351 415 45.8% 54.2%
1 10 333 162 171 48.6% 51.4%
2 All 255 115 140 45.1% 54.9%
2 1-2 16 10 6 62.5% 37.5%
2 3-6 78 41 37 52.6% 47.4%
2 7+ 161 64 97 39.8% 60.2%
3 All 153 59 94 38.6% 61.4%
3 1-2 31 25 6 80.6% 19.4%
3 3-6 54 14 40 25.9% 74.1%
3 7+ 68 20 48 29.4% 70.6%
LowerHigherRegular season only · shading scales with rate within each cell
Counts and rates are computed from charted play-by-play, regular season only (the CFBD pulls exclude postseason). Personnel groupings, formations, and concept tags are not in this table, they live in the Personnel & Formation charting layer (Section X) where film and Telemetry plug in.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / II
III
Situational Splits

Purdue Run / Pass by Situation

Field zone · score · half

The same run/pass tendency, re-cut by where the ball sits, the score on the board, and which half it is. Counts are real charted snaps; thin splits are flagged honestly. Run % and pass % are heat-shaded on the same Maryland-red scale.

By field zone
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Backed up (own 10) 15 8 7 53.3% 46.7%
Open field 654 285 369 43.6% 56.4%
Red zone (in 20) 97 58 39 59.8% 40.2%
Goal line (in 5) 17 13 4 76.5% 23.5%
By score
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Leading by 7+ 149 84 65 56.4% 43.6%
Within a TD 199 105 94 52.8% 47.2%
Trailing by 7+ 418 162 256 38.8% 61.2%
By half
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
First half 387 185 202 47.8% 52.2%
Second half 379 166 213 43.8% 56.2%
Splits are real charted snaps from this season. Goal-line and two-score-game cuts can be thin, so weigh them against the larger field-zone and half splits.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / III
IV
Drive Efficiency

Purdue Offense vs Defense

Per-drive, from CFBD drives

Drive for drive: what Purdue does with the ball, next to what their defense gives up. Points per drive are estimated from the drive result (touchdown counts as seven, field goal as three). Everything here is computed from real CFBD drive data.

Their OffenseWhen they have the ball
Points / Drive
1.9
Red-Zone TD
62.2%45 trips
3-and-Out
29.7%
Explosive Drive
36.7%40+ yds
Avg Start
72.5yds to goal
Drives
128
Their Defense AllowsWhen they are on the field
Points / Drive
2.9
Red-Zone TD
63.2%68 trips
3-and-Out
29%
Explosive Drive
50.4%40+ yds
Avg Start
71.9yds to goal
Drives
131
Points per drive is an estimate (TD = 7, FG = 3); it does not separate two-point tries, safeties, or defensive/special-teams scores. Red-zone rate counts drives reaching the opponent 20. Three-and-out is a non-scoring drive of three plays or fewer. Explosive is a drive gaining 40 or more yards.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / IV
V
Personnel Profiles

How Purdue Lines Up

Both sides of the ball
Their DefenseWhat we will see when we have the ball

Purdue's defense has real problems stopping both efficiency and explosiveness, allowing a 48 percent success rate and a 14.5 percent explosive play rate against them. They also give up third downs at a 45.5 percent clip, meaning they have trouble getting off the field.

  • Explosive play rate allowed of 14.5% is a clear vulnerability; attack vertically and take deep shots when the coverage structure allows because they give up chunk plays at an above-average rate.
  • A 48 percent success rate allowed means nearly half of offensive plays against them gain positive expected value; a well-balanced Maryland attack should be able to sustain drives and avoid third-and-long situations.
  • 45.5% third-down conversion rate allowed tells us their defense does not get stops when it matters most; if we get to manageable third downs we should be converting at a favorable rate.
Their OffenseWhat our defense must stop

Purdue is a situationally predictable offense that commits to the run when ahead and in the red zone but lacks the explosive pass game to stress a defense when trailing. Their overall efficiency is average at best and they do not consistently create chunk plays.

  • They are run-heavy with a 7-plus point lead (56.4%) and drop to 38.8% run when trailing, so game script will dictate what we see; get up early and we will see a one-dimensional attack.
  • Red zone run rate jumps to 59.8%, meaning inside the 20 they will try to pound it; our interior run defense must be assignment-sound and gap-disciplined in those situations.
  • A third-and-long pass rate of 70.6% is predictable but their 40.5% third-down conversion rate says they are not consistently converting; our coverage just needs to hold long enough to get off the field.
  • Explosive play rate of 11.7% is modest, so they are not a big-play offense; limit the few shots they take and make them sustain long drives, which their 43.5% success rate suggests they will struggle to do.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / V
V
Personnel Profiles

Two-Deep & Availability

Ourlads depth chart · updated 06/15/2026 2:43PM ET
Offense
PosStarterBackup
WR-X3 Xavier Townsend TR RS SR0 Jaylan Hornsby TR RS SO
WR-Z17 Bisi Owens TR RS SR12 Corey Smith TR JR
WR-SL19 Asaad Waseem TR RS JR10 Jesse Watson RS SO
LT79 Joey Tanona TR RS SR72 Jude McCoskey TR SR
LG59 Micah Banuelos TR RS JR56 Marques Easley TR RS SO
C50 Boaz Stanley TR RS SR73 Makai Saina TR RS SO
RG76 Ethan Trent RS JR51 Mason Vicari TR JR
RT68 Nuku Mafi TR RS SO77 Jatavius Shivers TR RS JR
TE81 George Burhenn RS JR16 Kylan Fox TR JR
QB15 Ryan Browne RS JR1 Evans Chuba TR RS SO
RB2 Fame Ijeboi TR RS SO4 Jerrick Gibson TR RS SO
Defense
PosStarterBackup
DE8 CJ Madden TR RS SR58 Breeon Ishmail TR RS JR
NT40 Ian Jeffries TR RS JR92 Curt Neal TR RS SR
DT94 Rodney Lora TR RS JR9 TJ Lindsey TR RS SO
RUSH18 Elo Modozie TR SR11 Keyshawn Burgos TR RS SR
WLB5 Charles Correa TR JR16 Anthony Speca TR JR
MLB0 Jojo Hayden TR RS JR47 Tre Moore TR RS SR
LCB12 Ryan Turner TR RS SR29 Dee Newsome TR RS JR
SS13 John Slaughter TR SR15 Vi'Naz Cobb SO
FS2 Jaden Mangham TR RS SR21 Justin Denson Jr. TR RS SO
RCB4 Hudauri Hines JR7 Don Saunders TR RS SR
NB6 Mister Clark TR RS JR1 Smiley Bradford JR
Special Teams
PosStarterBackup
PT42 Dylan Drennan TR RS SO95 Sam Dubwig TR RS SO
PK92 Jacobo Echeverria Lozano FR26 Jack Weeter RS SO
KO45 Seth Turner TR RS JR
LS46 Luke Raab TR RS SO89 Luke Klare RS SO
H42 Dylan Drennan TR RS SO95 Sam Dubwig TR RS SO
PR3 Xavier Townsend TR RS SR19 Asaad Waseem TR RS JR
KR22 Antonio Harris JR19 Asaad Waseem TR RS JR
Source: Ourlads NCAA depth chart · updated 06/15/2026 2:43PM ET · TR = transfer · injuries staff-entered
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / V
VI
Statistical Leaders

Purdue Top Producers

Season to date · regular season only
GroundRushing
Devin Mockobee off roster 124 car 521 yds
2 Antonio Harris 67 car 303 yds
3 Ryan Browne 51 car 291 yds
Malachi Thomas off roster 53 car 243 yds
Malachi Singleton off roster 45 car 226 yds
E.J. Horton off roster 2 car 22 yds
Jaron Thomas off roster 2 car 15 yds
Jack McCallister off roster 1 car 10 yds
AirPassing
Ryan Browne 196 cmp 2,177 yds
Malachi Singleton off roster 35 cmp 379 yds
Devin Mockobee off roster 1 cmp 14 yds
Malachi Thomas off roster 1 cmp 5 yds
TargetsReceiving
Michael Jackson III off roster 63 rec 576 yds
Nitro Tuggle off roster 34 rec 505 yds
E.J. Horton off roster 26 rec 280 yds
Devin Mockobee off roster 18 rec 215 yds
Arhmad Branch off roster 14 rec 212 yds
6 Corey Smith 12 rec 177 yds
7 Antonio Harris 17 rec 137 yds
Malachi Thomas off roster 10 rec 120 yds
Production is from 2025. Struck-through names are no longer on the current roster (graduated, transferred, or to the NFL) — don't game-plan around them.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / VI
VII
The Man Across the Field

Purdue's Decision Profile

4th-down tendency · tempo

How the man calling it for Purdue thinks on fourth down, drawn from every fourth-down snap his offense has taken this season. "Went" means they ran a play (rush or pass); "kicked" means a field goal or a punt. The split is then cut by field zone so you know where he gets aggressive.

4th DownFacedWentKickedGo %
All zones 96 25 71 26%
Own half (60+) 39 5 34 12.8%
Midfield (40-59) 24 5 19 20.8%
Fringe (21-39) 20 10 10 50%
Red zone (in 20) 13 5 8 38.5%
Go-for-it rate
26%
on 96 fourth downs
Tempo
63.8/gm
offensive snaps, 12 games
Across 96 fourth downs, this is a fair read on how aggressive he is. The zone cuts show where he hunts a conversion versus where he takes the points or flips the field.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / VII
VIII
Matchup Advantages

Where We Win

Our strengths vs their weaknesses
Maryland StrengthsvsPurdue Weaknesses
  • Attack them vertically early to exploit the 14.5% explosive play rate allowed; their secondary gives up big plays and our receivers need to be on the same page with shots down the field on first and second down.
  • Get ahead on the scoreboard and force Purdue into pass-only mode; at 38.8% run rate when trailing they become one-dimensional, and their 40.5% third-down conversion rate means they likely stall.
  • Stay on schedule offensively and avoid negative plays; with a 48% success rate allowed we can move the ball methodically, and their inability to get off the field on third down (45.5% allowed) rewards a patient, efficient approach.
  • Our red zone defense must stop the power run given Purdue's 59.8% run rate inside the 20; identify their tendencies at the goal line and trust our front to win gaps before the ball ever gets to a second level.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / VIII
IX
Coverage & Pressure

Blitz & Coverage

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. CFBD play-by-play does not carry coverage shells, blitz, or pressure, so the rates below stay blank until a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry. The sample row shows the shape only, not real numbers.

Blitz & pressure by down
DownBlitz %Pressure %Sack %
1st down ···
2nd down ···
3rd down ···
4th down ···
(example) sample 38%44%9%
Coverage shells
ShellSnap %Explosive allowedEPA / play
Cover 1 ···
Cover 3 ···
Cover 4 / quarters ···
Cover 2 / 2-man ···
(example) sample 31%··
Empty cells are the charting layer. Once a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry, these rates drop straight into the table; nothing here is estimated.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / IX
X
Personnel & Formation

Groupings & Sets

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. Personnel groupings and formation families are not in CFBD play-by-play; they are tagged off the film or pulled from Telemetry, then drop straight into these tables. The sample row is illustrative shape only.

Personnel groupings
PersonnelSnap %Run %Success %
11 personnel ···
12 personnel ···
21 personnel ···
Empty / 10 ···
(example: 11) sample 62%48%·
Formation families
FormationSnap %Run / Pass tiltNotes
Spread / 2x2 ···
Trips / 3x1 ···
Under center ···
Heavy / tight ···
(example) sample ···
The 11 / 12 / 21 labels are the standard back-and-tight-end personnel shorthand. Rows are marked where a sample is shown; real percentages come off the film and the Telemetry feed.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / X
XI
Charting Layer

Film & Telemetry

What plugs in next
★ Plugs in from film / Telemetry

The numbers above come from charted play-by-play. The detail a coordinator wants next, special-teams maps, opponent media quotes, and player grades, comes off the film and the Telemetry feed. Each item below drops straight into this report once charted.

  • Coverage and blitz tendencies by down and distance (Telemetry / PFF charting).
  • Special-teams punt and kickoff location maps.
  • Opponent media quotes from the weekly press conferences.
  • Player grades, pressures, and coverage data from Telemetry.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Purdue / 2026 / XI