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SHELL · ADVANCE SCOUTING2026 SEASON · WEEK 12 · 2026
INTERNAL ADVANCE REPORT

Scout the
Trojans

INSIDE THIS ADVANCE
IOverview & The Read
IITendency Report
IIISituational Splits
IVDrive Efficiency
VPersonnel Profiles
VIStatistical Leaders
VIIThe Man Across the Field
VIIIMatchup Advantages
IXCoverage & Pressure
XPersonnel & Formation
XICharting Layer
SHELLUSC ADVANCE · WEEK 12 · 2026
WEEK 12 · 2026 · INTERNAL ADVANCE
MARYLAND· VERSUS ·USC
Maryland 4-8 · USC 9-3
Date
Saturday, November 21, 2026
Stadium
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Location
Away · at USC
Kickoff
TBD · TBD
Prepared by SHELL · Maryland FootballConfidential · Internal use · Scheme / History / Evaluation / Lineup / Logistics
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / Contents
I
Overview & The Read

USC at a Glance

USC · 9-3

USC is a balanced but slightly pass-leaning offense averaging 63.3 plays per game with a PPA of 0.4, which sits in the strong range and means they are generating positive value on a consistent basis. Their defense is a legitimate concern, allowing opponents to convert 43.1 percent of third downs and giving up explosive plays at a 12.5 percent rate, which is manageable but not dominant.

The ReadThree keys to defend USC
01KEY 01
Load the box on first down. USC runs the ball on 57.4% of first downs, so our base first-down call needs to stop the run first. If we give them a comfortable gain on the ground early in the series, we hand them a manageable second down and let them dictate the rest of the possession.
02KEY 02
Expect run in the red zone and short-yardage situations. They run 60.4% in the red zone and 67.6% on third and short, meaning we cannot soften up inside the 20 or play a light box when they need one or two yards. Our run fits have to be gap-sound and physical in those spots or they will grind out scores and conversions.
03KEY 03
Eliminate the big play. Their explosive rate of 17.5% combined with a PPA of 0.4 per play tells us they hurt you in chunk gains more than they grind you down. We have to hold coverage discipline on the back end and keep the rush honest so we are not giving up the coverage bust or the cutback lane that turns into a 20-plus yard gain.
★ Bottom Line
USC is a balanced, efficient offense that leans run in favorable down-and-distance and converts third downs at a 54.5% clip, so we cannot afford to be wrong in our run-pass reads on early downs or in short-yardage. Keep them in unfavorable distances and take away the explosive play and we control the game.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / I
II
Tendency Report

USC Run / Pass by Down

Heat-mapped · deeper red = higher rate

Every scrimmage snap split by down and distance. Run rate and pass rate are heat-shaded on a Maryland-red scale so the strong tendencies jump off the page. The top row is all downs combined.

DownDistance PlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
ALL All 759 370 389 48.7% 51.3%
1 10 364 209 155 57.4% 42.6%
2 All 240 102 138 42.5% 57.5%
2 1-2 28 17 11 60.7% 39.3%
2 3-6 78 35 43 44.9% 55.1%
2 7+ 134 50 84 37.3% 62.7%
3 All 134 51 83 38.1% 61.9%
3 1-2 21 19 2 90.5% 9.5%
3 3-6 53 18 35 34% 66%
3 7+ 60 14 46 23.3% 76.7%
LowerHigherRegular season only · shading scales with rate within each cell
Counts and rates are computed from charted play-by-play, regular season only (the CFBD pulls exclude postseason). Personnel groupings, formations, and concept tags are not in this table, they live in the Personnel & Formation charting layer (Section X) where film and Telemetry plug in.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / II
III
Situational Splits

USC Run / Pass by Situation

Field zone · score · half

The same run/pass tendency, re-cut by where the ball sits, the score on the board, and which half it is. Counts are real charted snaps; thin splits are flagged honestly. Run % and pass % are heat-shaded on the same Maryland-red scale.

By field zone
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Backed up (own 10) 12 7 5 58.3% 41.7%
Open field 608 279 329 45.9% 54.1%
Red zone (in 20) 139 84 55 60.4% 39.6%
Goal line (in 5) 30 22 8 73.3% 26.7%
By score
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Leading by 7+ 285 157 128 55.1% 44.9%
Within a TD 288 134 154 46.5% 53.5%
Trailing by 7+ 186 79 107 42.5% 57.5%
By half
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
First half 409 177 232 43.3% 56.7%
Second half 350 193 157 55.1% 44.9%
Splits are real charted snaps. Read the smaller cuts with care (the lightest split here is 12 snaps); goal-line and two-score-game samples are usually the thinnest.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / III
IV
Drive Efficiency

USC Offense vs Defense

Per-drive, from CFBD drives

Drive for drive: what USC does with the ball, next to what their defense gives up. Points per drive are estimated from the drive result (touchdown counts as seven, field goal as three). Everything here is computed from real CFBD drive data.

Their OffenseWhen they have the ball
Points / Drive
3.5
Red-Zone TD
73%74 trips
3-and-Out
17.6%
Explosive Drive
60.8%40+ yds
Avg Start
73.1yds to goal
Drives
125
Their Defense AllowsWhen they are on the field
Points / Drive
2.2
Red-Zone TD
73.9%46 trips
3-and-Out
28.2%
Explosive Drive
42.7%40+ yds
Avg Start
72.6yds to goal
Drives
124
Points per drive is an estimate (TD = 7, FG = 3); it does not separate two-point tries, safeties, or defensive/special-teams scores. Red-zone rate counts drives reaching the opponent 20. Three-and-out is a non-scoring drive of three plays or fewer. Explosive is a drive gaining 40 or more yards.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / IV
V
Personnel Profiles

How USC Lines Up

Both sides of the ball
Their DefenseWhat we will see when we have the ball

USC's defense allows a 45.8 percent success rate and a 43.1 percent third-down conversion rate against them, meaning opposing offenses are staying on schedule and sustaining drives at a solid clip. They are not giving away explosive plays freely at 12.5 percent, but the consistency numbers suggest they can be methodically moved on.

  • A 45.8 percent success rate allowed is slightly above the average threshold -- offenses that execute sound, on-schedule football are finding ways to gain positive yards against this defense on nearly half their plays.
  • Third-down conversion rate allowed of 43.1 percent is a real vulnerability -- teams are consistently extending drives against them, which means if Maryland can stay on schedule on early downs, they should expect to be productive on third down.
  • The 12.5 percent explosive play rate allowed is the best number on their defense -- they do limit the big play better than the other metrics suggest, so Maryland's best avenue is sustained, methodical possession football rather than banking on one or two chunk shots.
Their OffenseWhat our defense must stop

USC runs a balanced scheme that tilts run-heavy in the red zone and when ahead, but leans on the pass when playing from behind or in obvious passing situations. With a 51 percent success rate and 17.5 percent explosive rate, they move the ball efficiently and can hurt you in chunks.

  • Red zone run rate of 60.4 percent tells you they want to pound it inside the 20 -- be ready for a physical run game when they get down there and do not let that become a predictable advantage for them.
  • On first down they run 57.4 percent of the time, so you can lean toward run fits early in the down-and-distance chain without surrendering too much to play action.
  • Third-and-long pass rate of 76.7 percent is a firm tendency -- when you get them behind the sticks, your secondary has to be ready to play coverage with confidence because they are throwing it.
  • Their explosive play rate of 17.5 percent combined with a PPA of 0.4 means they are both consistent and capable of the home run -- you cannot play soft coverage and hope they settle for check-downs.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / V
V
Personnel Profiles

Two-Deep & Availability

Ourlads depth chart · updated 05/07/2026 5:38PM ET
Offense
PosStarterBackup
WR-X9 Terrell Anderson TR JR10 Corey Simms SO
WR-Z16 Tanook Hines SO17 Kayden Dixon-Wyatt FR
WR-SL0 Zacharyus Williams TR RS SO4 Trent Mosley FR
LT72 Elijah Paige RS JR79 Elijah Vaikona RS FR
LG73 Tobias Raymond RS JR68 Hayden Treter RS SO
C67 Kilian O'Connor RS SR52 Willi Wascher RS FR
RG77 Alani Noa SR60 Kaylon Miller RS SO
RT74 Justin Tauanuu RS SO71 Keenyi Pepe FR
TE19 Mark Bowman FR84 Tucker Ashcraft TR RS JR
QB14 Jayden Maiava TR RS SR7 Sam Huard TR RS SR
RB2 Waymond Jordan TR SR8 King Miller RS SO
Defense
PosStarterBackup
LDE10 Braylan Shelby SR95 Jadyn Ramos RS FR
NT91 Alex VanSumeren TR RS SR99 Jamaal Jarrett TR RS JR
DT97 Jide Abasiri JR4 Jahkeem Stewart SO
RDE1 Kameryn Crawford JR18 Zuriah Fisher TR RS SR
WLB17 Deven Bryant TR RS JR15 Jadyn Walker RS SO
MLB8 Desman Stephens II JR26 Elijah Newby RS SO
LCB25 Marcelles Williams RS SO27 Chasen Johnson TR RS SO
SS9 Kennedy Urlacher TR JR23 Kendarius Reddick SO
FS6 Christian Pierce SR30 Marquis Gallegos RS SO
RCB0 Jontez Williams TR RS SR37 Trestin Castro RS FR
NB7 Alex Graham RS FR16 Prophet Brown RS SR
Special Teams
PosStarterBackup
PT35 Lachlan Carrigan TR SO93 William Weisberg RS FR
PK48 Ryon Sayeri RS SO45 Caden Chittenden TR RS SO
KO48 Ryon Sayeri RS SO93 William Weisberg RS FR
LS46 Dylan Black TR RS SR53 Luke Brown RS FR
H36 Rey Sanchez TR RS SR35 Lachlan Carrigan TR SO
PR0 Zacharyus Williams TR RS SO
KR16 Tanook Hines SO8 King Miller RS SO
Source: Ourlads NCAA depth chart · updated 05/07/2026 5:38PM ET · TR = transfer · injuries staff-entered
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / V
VI
Statistical Leaders

USC Top Producers

Season to date · regular season only
GroundRushing
King Miller 149 car 921 yds
2 Waymond Jordan 86 car 569 yds
Eli Sanders off roster 43 car 249 yds
4 Jayden Maiava 37 car 232 yds
Bryan Jackson off roster 34 car 121 yds
Husan Longstreet off roster 10 car 81 yds
Harry Dalton III off roster 8 car 44 yds
8 Riley Wormley 5 car 18 yds
AirPassing
Jayden Maiava 252 cmp 3,565 yds
Husan Longstreet off roster 13 cmp 122 yds
Makai Lemon off roster 2 cmp 23 yds
4 Sam Huard 1 cmp 10 yds
Lake McRee off roster 1 cmp 9 yds
TargetsReceiving
Makai Lemon off roster 74 rec 1,110 yds
Ja'Kobi Lane off roster 48 rec 735 yds
3 Tanook Hines 32 rec 490 yds
Lake McRee off roster 26 rec 409 yds
Walker Lyons off roster 20 rec 223 yds
Eli Sanders off roster 8 rec 136 yds
Jaden Richardson off roster 11 rec 127 yds
8 King Miller 16 rec 119 yds
Production is from 2025. Struck-through names are no longer on the current roster (graduated, transferred, or to the NFL) — don't game-plan around them.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / VI
VII
The Man Across the Field

USC's Decision Profile

4th-down tendency · tempo

How the man calling it for USC thinks on fourth down, drawn from every fourth-down snap his offense has taken this season. "Went" means they ran a play (rush or pass); "kicked" means a field goal or a punt. The split is then cut by field zone so you know where he gets aggressive.

4th DownFacedWentKickedGo %
All zones 60 21 39 35%
Own half (60+) 16 2 14 12.5%
Midfield (40-59) 15 10 5 66.7%
Fringe (21-39) 12 4 8 33.3%
Red zone (in 20) 17 5 12 29.4%
Go-for-it rate
35%
on 60 fourth downs
Tempo
63.3/gm
offensive snaps, 12 games
Across 60 fourth downs, this is a fair read on how aggressive he is. The zone cuts show where he hunts a conversion versus where he takes the points or flips the field.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / VII
VIII
Matchup Advantages

Where We Win

Our strengths vs their weaknesses
Maryland StrengthsvsUSC Weaknesses
  • Attack their third-down defense early and often -- at 43.1 percent conversion allowed, if Maryland can get to manageable third downs by running the ball effectively on first and second down, the numbers say they should be able to keep drives alive.
  • USC's defense limits explosives at 12.5 percent, so Maryland should not force the big play -- a patient, success-rate-driven approach fits exactly what this defense has shown it will give up.
  • USC runs 55.1 percent when ahead by seven or more and only 42.5 percent when trailing -- keeping this game close or creating a deficit for USC forces them into a pass-heavier mode that Maryland's secondary can prepare specifically for.
  • In the red zone, USC will come at you with the run at a 60.4 percent rate -- Maryland's defensive front has to be locked in on short-yardage run defense in that zone because that is not a tendency, that is a commitment.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / VIII
IX
Coverage & Pressure

Blitz & Coverage

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. CFBD play-by-play does not carry coverage shells, blitz, or pressure, so the rates below stay blank until a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry. The sample row shows the shape only, not real numbers.

Blitz & pressure by down
DownBlitz %Pressure %Sack %
1st down ···
2nd down ···
3rd down ···
4th down ···
(example) sample 38%44%9%
Coverage shells
ShellSnap %Explosive allowedEPA / play
Cover 1 ···
Cover 3 ···
Cover 4 / quarters ···
Cover 2 / 2-man ···
(example) sample 31%··
Empty cells are the charting layer. Once a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry, these rates drop straight into the table; nothing here is estimated.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / IX
X
Personnel & Formation

Groupings & Sets

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. Personnel groupings and formation families are not in CFBD play-by-play; they are tagged off the film or pulled from Telemetry, then drop straight into these tables. The sample row is illustrative shape only.

Personnel groupings
PersonnelSnap %Run %Success %
11 personnel ···
12 personnel ···
21 personnel ···
Empty / 10 ···
(example: 11) sample 62%48%·
Formation families
FormationSnap %Run / Pass tiltNotes
Spread / 2x2 ···
Trips / 3x1 ···
Under center ···
Heavy / tight ···
(example) sample ···
The 11 / 12 / 21 labels are the standard back-and-tight-end personnel shorthand. Rows are marked where a sample is shown; real percentages come off the film and the Telemetry feed.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / X
XI
Charting Layer

Film & Telemetry

What plugs in next
★ Plugs in from film / Telemetry

The numbers above come from charted play-by-play. The detail a coordinator wants next, special-teams maps, opponent media quotes, and player grades, comes off the film and the Telemetry feed. Each item below drops straight into this report once charted.

  • Coverage and blitz tendencies by down and distance (Telemetry / PFF charting).
  • Special-teams punt and kickoff location maps.
  • Opponent media quotes from the weekly press conferences.
  • Player grades, pressures, and coverage data from Telemetry.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2026 / XI