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SHELL · ADVANCE SCOUTING2026 SEASON · WEEK 12 · 2026
INTERNAL ADVANCE REPORT

Scout the
Trojans

INSIDE THIS ADVANCE
IOverview & The Read
IITendency Report
IIISituational Splits
IVDrive Efficiency
VPersonnel Profiles
VIStatistical Leaders
VIIThe Man Across the Field
VIIIMatchup Advantages
IXCoverage & Pressure
XPersonnel & Formation
XICharting Layer
SHELLUSC ADVANCE · WEEK 12 · 2026
WEEK 12 · 2026 · INTERNAL ADVANCE
MARYLAND· VERSUS ·USC
Maryland 4-8 · USC 9-3 · 2025 SEASON
Date
Saturday, November 21, 2026
Stadium
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Location
Away · at USC
Kickoff
TBD · TBD
Prepared by SHELL · Maryland FootballConfidential · Internal use · Scheme / History / Evaluation / Lineup / Logistics
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / Contents
I
Overview & The Read

USC at a Glance

USC · 9-3 · 2025

USC is a balanced offense that leans slightly pass-heavy overall but commits hard to the run in scoring situations and when protecting leads. Their defense is below average in success rate allowed and gives up manageable but real chunk plays at a 12.5% explosive rate. At 63.3 plays per game they are not a hurry-up team, so pace is not a major concern.

The ReadThree keys to defend USC
01KEY 01
Load up for the run on first down. USC hands the ball off 57.4% of the time on first down, and their 1st-down PPA of 0.24 means they are generating real positive value when they do it. Win the first-down line of scrimmage and you force them into 2nd-and-long situations where they become a 60% pass team and far more predictable.
02KEY 02
In the red zone, defend the run first. At 60.4% run rate inside the 20, USC commits to the ground game when points are on the line. Pack the box and take away the run before you worry about the pass in red zone situations or you will give up cheap touchdowns on the ground.
03KEY 03
Their 3rd-down conversion rate of 54.5% is a problem if you let them get there on their terms. On 3rd and short they run 67.6% of the time, so play gap-sound defense and stop the short-yardage run. On 3rd and long they throw 76.7% of the time, so rush and cover accordingly. Force 3rd and long and then trust your coverage rather than gambling on the blitz, because a team converting better than half their 3rd downs will eat you alive if you give up cheap completions underneath.
★ Bottom Line
USC is a balanced, efficient offense running at a solid 0.4 PPA per play overall, so there are no obvious scheme tendencies to exploit beyond the down-and-distance splits. Win first down, defend the run in the red zone, and make them earn every 3rd-down conversion through disciplined gap control and sound coverage.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / I
II
Tendency Report

USC Run / Pass by Down

Heat-mapped · deeper red = higher rate

Every scrimmage snap split by down and distance. Run rate and pass rate are heat-shaded on a Maryland-red scale so the strong tendencies jump off the page. The top row is all downs combined.

DownDistance PlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
ALL All 759 370 389 48.7% 51.3%
1 10 364 209 155 57.4% 42.6%
2 All 240 102 138 42.5% 57.5%
2 1-2 28 17 11 60.7% 39.3%
2 3-6 78 35 43 44.9% 55.1%
2 7+ 134 50 84 37.3% 62.7%
3 All 134 51 83 38.1% 61.9%
3 1-2 21 19 2 90.5% 9.5%
3 3-6 53 18 35 34% 66%
3 7+ 60 14 46 23.3% 76.7%
LowerHigherRegular season only · shading scales with rate within each cell
Counts and rates are computed from charted play-by-play, regular season only (the CFBD pulls exclude postseason). Personnel groupings, formations, and concept tags are not in this table, they live in the Personnel & Formation charting layer (Section X) where film and Telemetry plug in.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / II
III
Situational Splits

USC Run / Pass by Situation

Field zone · score · half

The same run/pass tendency, re-cut by where the ball sits, the score on the board, and which half it is. Counts are real charted snaps; thin splits are flagged honestly. Run % and pass % are heat-shaded on the same Maryland-red scale.

By field zone
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Backed up (own 10) 12 7 5 58.3% 41.7%
Open field 608 279 329 45.9% 54.1%
Red zone (in 20) 139 84 55 60.4% 39.6%
Goal line (in 5) 30 22 8 73.3% 26.7%
By score
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Leading by 7+ 285 157 128 55.1% 44.9%
Within a TD 288 134 154 46.5% 53.5%
Trailing by 7+ 186 79 107 42.5% 57.5%
By half
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
First half 409 177 232 43.3% 56.7%
Second half 350 193 157 55.1% 44.9%
Splits are real charted snaps. Read the smaller cuts with care (the lightest split here is 12 snaps); goal-line and two-score-game samples are usually the thinnest.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / III
IV
Drive Efficiency

USC Offense vs Defense

Per-drive, from CFBD drives

Drive for drive: what USC does with the ball, next to what their defense gives up. Points per drive are estimated from the drive result (touchdown counts as seven, field goal as three). Everything here is computed from real CFBD drive data.

Their OffenseWhen they have the ball
Points / Drive
3.5
Red-Zone TD
73%74 trips
3-and-Out
17.6%
Explosive Drive
60.8%40+ yds
Avg Start
73.1yds to goal
Drives
125
Their Defense AllowsWhen they are on the field
Points / Drive
2.2
Red-Zone TD
73.9%46 trips
3-and-Out
28.2%
Explosive Drive
42.7%40+ yds
Avg Start
72.6yds to goal
Drives
124
Points per drive is an estimate (TD = 7, FG = 3); it does not separate two-point tries, safeties, or defensive/special-teams scores. Red-zone rate counts drives reaching the opponent 20. Three-and-out is a non-scoring drive of three plays or fewer. Explosive is a drive gaining 40 or more yards.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / IV
V
Personnel Profiles

How USC Lines Up

Both sides of the ball
Their DefenseWhat we will see when we have the ball

USC's defense allows a 45.8% success rate, which is below the strong threshold and indicates offenses consistently move the chains against them. Their 43.1% third-down conversion rate allowed means they do not get off the field reliably.

  • A 45.8% success rate allowed means almost half the plays run against USC result in a successful gain for the offense. We should expect to move the ball if we execute our scheme.
  • Their third-down conversion rate allowed of 43.1% is a real weakness. If we convert at or above that number we will sustain drives and keep our defense rested.
  • The 12.5% explosive play rate allowed is a manageable number but it is still real. Shots down the field on favorable looks are worth taking. Do not leave easy explosive plays on the field by being conservative.
Their OffenseWhat our defense must stop

USC wants to run the ball in the red zone and on first down, then lean on the pass on third and long. Their PPA of 0.4 per play is a strong number and they convert 54.5% of third downs, so they are efficient when they get into rhythm.

  • First-down run rate of 57.4% tells us they will try to establish the run early in every series. Load the box on first down and make them throw behind the chains.
  • In the red zone they run the ball 60.4% of the time, which is a clear tendency. Our interior defenders and linebackers must be gap-sound inside the 20.
  • On third and long they pass 76.7% of the time, so we can get into our sub packages early when we put them in that situation. Create those third and longs and the call is essentially given to us.
  • They drop to 42.5% run rate when trailing by 7 or more, meaning if we get a lead they shift away from what they do best. Getting ahead early changes their identity.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / V
V
Personnel Profiles

Two-Deep & Availability

Ourlads depth chart · updated 05/07/2026 5:38PM ET
Offense
PosStarterBackup
WR-X9 Terrell Anderson TR JR10 Corey Simms SO
WR-Z16 Tanook Hines SO17 Kayden Dixon-Wyatt FR
WR-SL0 Zacharyus Williams TR RS SO4 Trent Mosley FR
LT72 Elijah Paige RS JR79 Elijah Vaikona RS FR
LG73 Tobias Raymond RS JR68 Hayden Treter RS SO
C67 Kilian O'Connor RS SR52 Willi Wascher RS FR
RG77 Alani Noa SR60 Kaylon Miller RS SO
RT74 Justin Tauanuu RS SO71 Keenyi Pepe FR
TE19 Mark Bowman FR84 Tucker Ashcraft TR RS JR
QB14 Jayden Maiava TR RS SR7 Sam Huard TR RS SR
RB2 Waymond Jordan TR SR8 King Miller RS SO
Defense
PosStarterBackup
LDE10 Braylan Shelby SR95 Jadyn Ramos RS FR
NT91 Alex VanSumeren TR RS SR99 Jamaal Jarrett TR RS JR
DT97 Jide Abasiri JR4 Jahkeem Stewart SO
RDE1 Kameryn Crawford JR18 Zuriah Fisher TR RS SR
WLB17 Deven Bryant TR RS JR15 Jadyn Walker RS SO
MLB8 Desman Stephens II JR26 Elijah Newby RS SO
LCB25 Marcelles Williams RS SO27 Chasen Johnson TR RS SO
SS9 Kennedy Urlacher TR JR23 Kendarius Reddick SO
FS6 Christian Pierce SR30 Marquis Gallegos RS SO
RCB0 Jontez Williams TR RS SR37 Trestin Castro RS FR
NB7 Alex Graham RS FR16 Prophet Brown RS SR
Special Teams
PosStarterBackup
PT35 Lachlan Carrigan TR SO93 William Weisberg RS FR
PK48 Ryon Sayeri RS SO45 Caden Chittenden TR RS SO
KO48 Ryon Sayeri RS SO93 William Weisberg RS FR
LS46 Dylan Black TR RS SR53 Luke Brown RS FR
H36 Rey Sanchez TR RS SR35 Lachlan Carrigan TR SO
PR0 Zacharyus Williams TR RS SO
KR16 Tanook Hines SO8 King Miller RS SO
Source: Ourlads NCAA depth chart · updated 05/07/2026 5:38PM ET · TR = transfer · injuries staff-entered
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / V
VI
Statistical Leaders

USC Top Producers

Season to date · regular season only
GroundRushing
King Miller 149 car 921 yds
2 Waymond Jordan 86 car 569 yds
Eli Sanders off roster 43 car 249 yds
4 Jayden Maiava 37 car 232 yds
Bryan Jackson off roster 34 car 121 yds
Husan Longstreet off roster 10 car 81 yds
Harry Dalton III off roster 8 car 44 yds
8 Riley Wormley 5 car 18 yds
AirPassing
Jayden Maiava 252 cmp 3,565 yds
Husan Longstreet off roster 13 cmp 122 yds
Makai Lemon off roster 2 cmp 23 yds
4 Sam Huard 1 cmp 10 yds
Lake McRee off roster 1 cmp 9 yds
TargetsReceiving
Makai Lemon off roster 74 rec 1,110 yds
Ja'Kobi Lane off roster 48 rec 735 yds
3 Tanook Hines 32 rec 490 yds
Lake McRee off roster 26 rec 409 yds
Walker Lyons off roster 20 rec 223 yds
Eli Sanders off roster 8 rec 136 yds
Jaden Richardson off roster 11 rec 127 yds
8 King Miller 16 rec 119 yds
Production is from 2025. Struck-through names are no longer on the current roster (graduated, transferred, or to the NFL) — don't game-plan around them.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / VI
VII
The Man Across the Field

USC's Decision Profile

4th-down tendency · tempo

How the man calling it for USC thinks on fourth down, drawn from every fourth-down snap his offense has taken this season. "Went" means they ran a play (rush or pass); "kicked" means a field goal or a punt. The split is then cut by field zone so you know where he gets aggressive.

4th DownFacedWentKickedGo %
All zones 60 21 39 35%
Own half (60+) 16 2 14 12.5%
Midfield (40-59) 15 10 5 66.7%
Fringe (21-39) 12 4 8 33.3%
Red zone (in 20) 17 5 12 29.4%
Go-for-it rate
35%
on 60 fourth downs
Tempo
63.3/gm
offensive snaps, 12 games
Across 60 fourth downs, this is a fair read on how aggressive he is. The zone cuts show where he hunts a conversion versus where he takes the points or flips the field.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / VII
VIII
Matchup Advantages

Where We Win

Our strengths vs their weaknesses
Maryland StrengthsvsUSC Weaknesses
  • Force third and long early by stopping their 57.4% first-down run tendency. If we win first down we take the game away from their preferred script.
  • Our offense should attack their 45.8% success rate allowed with our base run game and short passing attack. There is no reason to get cute. They give up yards consistently.
  • Get a lead and watch them become a passing team. At 42.5% run rate when trailing 7 or more, a lead puts them in obvious passing situations and lets us pin our ears back.
  • Their 43.1% third-down conversion rate allowed lines up as a chance for us to stay on the field. If we convert third downs at a rate near or above that number we control the clock and the game.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / VIII
IX
Coverage & Pressure

Blitz & Coverage

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. CFBD play-by-play does not carry coverage shells, blitz, or pressure, so the rates below stay blank until a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry. The sample row shows the shape only, not real numbers.

Blitz & pressure by down
DownBlitz %Pressure %Sack %
1st down ···
2nd down ···
3rd down ···
4th down ···
(example) sample 38%44%9%
Coverage shells
ShellSnap %Explosive allowedEPA / play
Cover 1 ···
Cover 3 ···
Cover 4 / quarters ···
Cover 2 / 2-man ···
(example) sample 31%··
Empty cells are the charting layer. Once a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry, these rates drop straight into the table; nothing here is estimated.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / IX
X
Personnel & Formation

Groupings & Sets

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. Personnel groupings and formation families are not in CFBD play-by-play; they are tagged off the film or pulled from Telemetry, then drop straight into these tables. The sample row is illustrative shape only.

Personnel groupings
PersonnelSnap %Run %Success %
11 personnel ···
12 personnel ···
21 personnel ···
Empty / 10 ···
(example: 11) sample 62%48%·
Formation families
FormationSnap %Run / Pass tiltNotes
Spread / 2x2 ···
Trips / 3x1 ···
Under center ···
Heavy / tight ···
(example) sample ···
The 11 / 12 / 21 labels are the standard back-and-tight-end personnel shorthand. Rows are marked where a sample is shown; real percentages come off the film and the Telemetry feed.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / X
XI
Charting Layer

Film & Telemetry

What plugs in next
★ Plugs in from film / Telemetry

The numbers above come from charted play-by-play. The detail a coordinator wants next, special-teams maps, opponent media quotes, and player grades, comes off the film and the Telemetry feed. Each item below drops straight into this report once charted.

  • Coverage and blitz tendencies by down and distance (Telemetry / PFF charting).
  • Special-teams punt and kickoff location maps.
  • Opponent media quotes from the weekly press conferences.
  • Player grades, pressures, and coverage data from Telemetry.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / USC / 2025 / XI