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SHELL · ADVANCE SCOUTING2026 SEASON · WEEK 13 · 2026
INTERNAL ADVANCE REPORT

Scout the
Nittany Lions

INSIDE THIS ADVANCE
IOverview & The Read
IITendency Report
IIISituational Splits
IVDrive Efficiency
VPersonnel Profiles
VIStatistical Leaders
VIIThe Man Across the Field
VIIIMatchup Advantages
IXCoverage & Pressure
XPersonnel & Formation
XICharting Layer
SHELLPENN STATE ADVANCE · WEEK 13 · 2026
WEEK 13 · 2026 · INTERNAL ADVANCE
MARYLAND· VERSUS ·PENN STATE
Maryland 4-8 · Penn State 6-6 · 2025 SEASON
Date
Saturday, November 28, 2026
Stadium
SECU Stadium
Location
Home
Kickoff
TBD · TBD
Prepared by SHELL · Maryland FootballConfidential · Internal use · Scheme / History / Evaluation / Lineup / Logistics
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / Contents
I
Overview & The Read

Penn State at a Glance

Penn State · 6-6 · 2025

Penn State is a run-heavy, methodical offense that leans on the ground game in nearly every situation and plays at a controlled pace of 59.2 plays per game. Their defense is stingy but not lockdown, allowing opponents to convert at a 41.1% clip on third down and giving up explosive plays at an 11% rate. They are a disciplined, structure-first program that wins by limiting mistakes more than by overwhelming opponents.

The ReadThree keys to defend Penn State
01KEY 01
Load the box and set the edge on early downs. Penn State runs it 60.3% of the time on first down, so our front has to win the line of scrimmage before we ever talk about coverage. If we give up the early-down run, we are handing them manageable second downs and keeping that 44.1% third-down conversion rate alive.
02KEY 02
Tighten the red zone run fits. They are running the ball 73.3% of the time inside the 20, which means every gap assignment has to be exact. One missed fit in the red zone and they are walking in. Our linebackers and safeties need to be on the same call every snap down there.
03KEY 03
Respect but do not fear their passing game. Their explosive rate is only 11.3% and their overall PPA sits at 0.27, which is above average but not elite. On third and long they pass 78% of the time, so our coverage calls in obvious passing situations need to eliminate the chunk play first. If we hold them under their 44.1% third-down conversion mark, we control the game.
★ Bottom Line
Penn State wants to beat you with the run on early downs and in the red zone, so disciplined gap integrity is the foundation of this defensive plan. Force them into third and long, play sound coverage, and their offense does not have the explosive ceiling to overcome a mistake-free Maryland defense.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / I
II
Tendency Report

Penn State Run / Pass by Down

Heat-mapped · deeper red = higher rate

Every scrimmage snap split by down and distance. Run rate and pass rate are heat-shaded on a Maryland-red scale so the strong tendencies jump off the page. The top row is all downs combined.

DownDistance PlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
ALL All 710 403 307 56.8% 43.2%
1 10 317 191 126 60.3% 39.7%
2 All 228 134 94 58.8% 41.2%
2 1-2 31 23 8 74.2% 25.8%
2 3-6 78 56 22 71.8% 28.2%
2 7+ 119 55 64 46.2% 53.8%
3 All 136 60 76 44.1% 55.9%
3 1-2 31 24 7 77.4% 22.6%
3 3-6 55 25 30 45.5% 54.5%
3 7+ 50 11 39 22% 78%
LowerHigherRegular season only · shading scales with rate within each cell
Counts and rates are computed from charted play-by-play, regular season only (the CFBD pulls exclude postseason). Personnel groupings, formations, and concept tags are not in this table, they live in the Personnel & Formation charting layer (Section X) where film and Telemetry plug in.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / II
III
Situational Splits

Penn State Run / Pass by Situation

Field zone · score · half

The same run/pass tendency, re-cut by where the ball sits, the score on the board, and which half it is. Counts are real charted snaps; thin splits are flagged honestly. Run % and pass % are heat-shaded on the same Maryland-red scale.

By field zone
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Backed up (own 10) 10 8 2 80% 20%
Open field 565 296 269 52.4% 47.6%
Red zone (in 20) 135 99 36 73.3% 26.7%
Goal line (in 5) 30 26 4 86.7% 13.3%
By score
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
Leading by 7+ 213 116 97 54.5% 45.5%
Within a TD 329 205 124 62.3% 37.7%
Trailing by 7+ 168 82 86 48.8% 51.2%
By half
SituationPlaysRunPassRun %Pass %
First half 349 196 153 56.2% 43.8%
Second half 358 205 153 57.3% 42.7%
Splits are real charted snaps. Read the smaller cuts with care (the lightest split here is 10 snaps); goal-line and two-score-game samples are usually the thinnest.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / III
IV
Drive Efficiency

Penn State Offense vs Defense

Per-drive, from CFBD drives

Drive for drive: what Penn State does with the ball, next to what their defense gives up. Points per drive are estimated from the drive result (touchdown counts as seven, field goal as three). Everything here is computed from real CFBD drive data.

Their OffenseWhen they have the ball
Points / Drive
2.9
Red-Zone TD
74.1%58 trips
3-and-Out
25.8%
Explosive Drive
38.3%40+ yds
Avg Start
66.2yds to goal
Drives
120
Their Defense AllowsWhen they are on the field
Points / Drive
2.3
Red-Zone TD
66%50 trips
3-and-Out
21.3%
Explosive Drive
39.3%40+ yds
Avg Start
71.4yds to goal
Drives
122
Points per drive is an estimate (TD = 7, FG = 3); it does not separate two-point tries, safeties, or defensive/special-teams scores. Red-zone rate counts drives reaching the opponent 20. Three-and-out is a non-scoring drive of three plays or fewer. Explosive is a drive gaining 40 or more yards.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / IV
V
Personnel Profiles

How Penn State Lines Up

Both sides of the ball
Their DefenseWhat we will see when we have the ball

Penn State's defense faces a run-heavy diet at 52.9% run, so they are built and practiced to stop the run first. However, they allow a 41.1% third-down conversion rate and an 11% explosive play rate, which gives us real windows to move the chains and hit over the top.

  • A 41.1% third-down conversion rate allowed means they are not a bend-don't-break unit -- if we can consistently get to manageable third downs, we can stay on the field and keep their offense on the sideline.
  • 11% explosive play rate allowed is not elite -- there are shots to be taken down the field, especially if we can get them in conflict with play-action off our run game.
  • Their 42.3% success rate allowed is below average, meaning they do win a majority of individual plays -- our offense needs to be assignment-sound and disciplined, not freelancing, to stay on schedule.
Their OffenseWhat our defense must stop

Penn State runs the ball first and runs it often, sitting at 56.8% run rate overall and pushing that even higher in the red zone and when ahead. Their PPA of 0.27 per play reflects a genuinely efficient offense, but they are not a big-play team at 11.3% explosive rate.

  • Red zone run rate of 73.3% means their goal-line and short-yardage packages are a core part of their identity -- load the box and force them to earn it physically.
  • On first down they run 60.3% of the time, so our linebackers must be disciplined in run fit early in the down and distance progression -- giving up easy first-down gains will extend their drives.
  • Third-and-long is almost exclusively a passing situation at 78%, which simplifies our coverage calls when we get them in obvious passing downs -- get them behind the chains early.
  • They stay committed to the run even with a lead, at 54.5% run rate up 7-plus, so do not expect them to abandon the ground game just because the scoreboard changes -- our front seven has to stay fresh for four quarters.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / V
V
Personnel Profiles

Two-Deep & Availability

Ourlads depth chart · updated 06/09/2026 2:06PM ET
Offense
PosStarterBackup
WR-X0 Chase Sowell TR RS SR8 Karon Brookins TR RS FR
WR-Z4 Brett Eskildsen TR JR11 Lyrick Samuel RS FR
WR-F6 Koby Howard SO2 Zay Robinson TR RS FR
LT78 Malachi Goodman RS FR77 Owen Aliciene RS FR
LG70 Trevor Buhr TR RS JR55 Chimdy Onoh RS JR
C51 Brock Riker TR RS SO54 Vaea Ikakoula TR RS FR
RG50 Cooper Cousins JR66 Will Tompkins TR RS FR
RT68 Anthony Donkoh RS JR71 Garrett Sexton RS SO
TE87 Andrew Rappleyea RS JR18 Benjamin Brahmer TR SR
QB3 Rocco Becht TR RS SR7 Alex Manske TR RS FR
RB21 Carson Hansen TR SR23 James Peoples TR JR
Defense
PosStarterBackup
LDE99 Yvan Kemajou SO88 Ikenna Ezeogu TR RS SR
LDT91 Armstrong Nnodim TR RS SO56 Alijah Carnell TR RS SO
RDT97 Keanu Williams TR RS SR92 Siale Taupaki TR RS SR
RDE18 Max Granville RS SO33 Alexander McPherson TR SO
WLB13 Tony Rojas RS JR25 Alex Tatsch SO
MLB8 Kooper Ebel TR SR10 Caleb Bacon TR RS SR
LCB5 Daryus Dixson SO15 Joshua Johnson RS FR
SS31 Marcus Neal Jr. TR JR21 Vaboue Toure RS SO
FS4 Jeremiah Cooper TR RS SR3 Jamison Patton TR SR
RCB2 Audavion Collins TR RS SR23 Jahmir Joseph RS FR
NB7 Zion Tracy SR24 Ibn McDaniels TR RS SO
Special Teams
PosStarterBackup
PT38 Nathan Tiyce TR SO Lucas Tenbrock FR
PK94 Ryan Barker RS JR95 Cristiano Rosa TR RS SR
KO95 Cristiano Rosa TR RS SR94 Ryan Barker RS JR
LS35 Blaise Sokach-Minnick RS SR92 Andrew Dufault RS SO
H38 Nathan Tiyce TR SO Lucas Tenbrock FR
PR6 Koby Howard SO12 Xxavier Thomas RS FR
KR26 Cam Wallace RS JR2 Zay Robinson TR RS FR
Source: Ourlads NCAA depth chart · updated 06/09/2026 2:06PM ET · TR = transfer · injuries staff-entered
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / V
VI
Statistical Leaders

Penn State Top Producers

Season to date · regular season only
GroundRushing
Kaytron Allen off roster 198 car 1,175 yds
Nicholas Singleton off roster 114 car 500 yds
Drew Allar off roster 30 car 200 yds
Trebor Pena off roster 10 car 60 yds
Ethan Grunkemeyer off roster 21 car 58 yds
Corey Smith off roster 14 car 30 yds
Luke Reynolds off roster 2 car 26 yds
8 Cam Wallace 6 car 23 yds
AirPassing
Ethan Grunkemeyer off roster 116 cmp 1,132 yds
Drew Allar off roster 93 cmp 911 yds
Trebor Pena off roster 1 cmp 73 yds
Devonte Ross off roster 1 cmp 42 yds
Khalil Dinkins off roster 1 cmp 40 yds
Kyron Ware-Hudson off roster 1 cmp 15 yds
7 Andrew Rappleyea 1 cmp 11 yds
TargetsReceiving
Trebor Pena off roster 44 rec 419 yds
Devonte Ross off roster 35 rec 394 yds
Kyron Ware-Hudson off roster 21 rec 265 yds
Luke Reynolds off roster 23 rec 211 yds
Nicholas Singleton off roster 23 rec 208 yds
6 Koby Howard 7 rec 133 yds
Khalil Dinkins off roster 12 rec 124 yds
8 Andrew Rappleyea 17 rec 112 yds
Production is from 2025. Struck-through names are no longer on the current roster (graduated, transferred, or to the NFL) — don't game-plan around them.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / VI
VII
The Man Across the Field

Penn State's Decision Profile

4th-down tendency · tempo

How the man calling it for Penn State thinks on fourth down, drawn from every fourth-down snap his offense has taken this season. "Went" means they ran a play (rush or pass); "kicked" means a field goal or a punt. The split is then cut by field zone so you know where he gets aggressive.

4th DownFacedWentKickedGo %
All zones 75 29 46 38.7%
Own half (60+) 23 2 21 8.7%
Midfield (40-59) 23 12 11 52.2%
Fringe (21-39) 16 10 6 62.5%
Red zone (in 20) 13 5 8 38.5%
Go-for-it rate
38.7%
on 75 fourth downs
Tempo
59.2/gm
offensive snaps, 12 games
Across 75 fourth downs, this is a fair read on how aggressive he is. The zone cuts show where he hunts a conversion versus where he takes the points or flips the field.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / VII
VIII
Matchup Advantages

Where We Win

Our strengths vs their weaknesses
Maryland StrengthsvsPenn State Weaknesses
  • Attack third and long aggressively -- if Maryland's defense can get Penn State's offense into 3rd-and-5-plus situations, we already know they will pass 78% of the time, which simplifies our coverage structure and puts our pass rushers in a favorable spot.
  • Our run game vs. their run-heavy defensive diet -- Penn State's defense sees a lot of run and is built for it, so Maryland needs to use play-action and RPO concepts to keep them from loading the box and suffocating our running game before it gets started.
  • Take shots over the top early -- Penn State allows explosive plays at an 11% rate, and if we can establish enough run threat to get them playing downhill, early vertical shots off play-action could be our highest-leverage offensive possessions.
  • Win first down defensively -- Penn State runs 60.3% of the time on first down; if Maryland's front can limit those gains and create second-and-long situations repeatedly, we force them away from their comfort zone and into a passing game that has to beat us rather than a run game that wears us down.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / VIII
IX
Coverage & Pressure

Blitz & Coverage

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. CFBD play-by-play does not carry coverage shells, blitz, or pressure, so the rates below stay blank until a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry. The sample row shows the shape only, not real numbers.

Blitz & pressure by down
DownBlitz %Pressure %Sack %
1st down ···
2nd down ···
3rd down ···
4th down ···
(example) sample 38%44%9%
Coverage shells
ShellSnap %Explosive allowedEPA / play
Cover 1 ···
Cover 3 ···
Cover 4 / quarters ···
Cover 2 / 2-man ···
(example) sample 31%··
Empty cells are the charting layer. Once a game is broken down on film or pulled from Telemetry, these rates drop straight into the table; nothing here is estimated.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / IX
X
Personnel & Formation

Groupings & Sets

Charting layer · plugs in next
★ Plugs in from Telemetry / film

This is the charting layer. Personnel groupings and formation families are not in CFBD play-by-play; they are tagged off the film or pulled from Telemetry, then drop straight into these tables. The sample row is illustrative shape only.

Personnel groupings
PersonnelSnap %Run %Success %
11 personnel ···
12 personnel ···
21 personnel ···
Empty / 10 ···
(example: 11) sample 62%48%·
Formation families
FormationSnap %Run / Pass tiltNotes
Spread / 2x2 ···
Trips / 3x1 ···
Under center ···
Heavy / tight ···
(example) sample ···
The 11 / 12 / 21 labels are the standard back-and-tight-end personnel shorthand. Rows are marked where a sample is shown; real percentages come off the film and the Telemetry feed.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / X
XI
Charting Layer

Film & Telemetry

What plugs in next
★ Plugs in from film / Telemetry

The numbers above come from charted play-by-play. The detail a coordinator wants next, special-teams maps, opponent media quotes, and player grades, comes off the film and the Telemetry feed. Each item below drops straight into this report once charted.

  • Coverage and blitz tendencies by down and distance (Telemetry / PFF charting).
  • Special-teams punt and kickoff location maps.
  • Opponent media quotes from the weekly press conferences.
  • Player grades, pressures, and coverage data from Telemetry.
SHELLSHELL / Maryland Football
Advance Scouting / Penn State / 2025 / XI